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UN ESCAP report forecast Indian growth at 8.1% in the current year

15 May 2015 Evaluate

Going in line with the estimates of the Finance Ministry, an UN ESCAP report titled, 'Economic and Social Survey of Asia and the Pacific 2015’ has said that Indian economy is likely to clock 8.1 percent growth in the current financial year, from 7.4 per cent last year, spurred by strong consumer spending amid low inflation, infrastructure projects and government's reform measures.

The report said, growth is forecast to accelerate to 8.1 percent in 2015 and 8.2 percent in 2016, benefiting from the acceleration of infrastructure projects, strong consumer spending due to lower inflation and monetary easing and gradual improvements in market sentiments.

The report has also highlighted some concerns, saying that decline in inflation benefits from lower global energy prices, but structural factors that keep food prices remain high. These include post-harvest food waste that is up to 40 percent, lack of market competition, higher agricultural input prices and wages and an increase in minimum support prices. More than half of India's farming is rain-fed, so food prices are subject to weather conditions, it added.

For the whole Asia-Pacific region, the report stated that the region will remain susceptible to a range of risks and uncertainties - among others, possible fresh bouts of financial market volatility, delays in addressing structural impediments, and political disruptions.

The United Nations Economic and Social Commission for Asia and the Pacific (ESCAP) is the regional development arm of the United Nations for the Asia-Pacific region. To provide guidance to Asia-Pacific economies, ESCAP has also introduced a new multidimensional Index of Inclusiveness.  In its report ESCAP has highlighted that the growth potential of Asia-Pacific developing economies is being held back by infrastructure shortages and the excessive commodity dependence of some countries.

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