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Bond yields edge lower on likelihood of rate cut at RBI’s next policy review

18 May 2015 Evaluate

Bond yields edged sharply lower on Monday as traders begin pricing the likelihood of a rate cut at the central bank’s next policy review in early June. In a related development, ahead of RBI's second bi-monthly monetary policy review, Finance Minister Arun Jaitley on Sunday said that 'expectation' from Governor Raghuram Rajan was the same as general expectation on an interest rate cut. The RBI has lowered its policy rate twice so far in 2015, but maintained a status quo in its first bi-monthly monetary policy released on April 7 on fears of unseasonal rains impacting food prices.

On the global front, US treasury yields fell on Friday on data pointing to slowing economic growth, raising expectation that the Federal Reserve will need to wait longer to raise interest rates. Meanwhile, Oil prices rose in Asia as fresh tensions in Yemen and Iraq raised concerns about a supply disruption in the crude-rich West Asia.

Back home, the yields on 10 year Government Stock was trading 5 basis points lower at 7.90% from its previous close of 7.95% on Friday.

The benchmark five year swap rate was trading 3 basis points lower at 7.16% from its previous close of 7.19% on Friday.

The Reserve Bank of India will conduct overnight variable rate repo auction for a notified amount of Rs 15,000 crore on May 18, 2015, Monday. The auction will be conducted between 12.00 p.m. and 12.30 p.m. as per the revised guidelines on Term Repo Auctions issued on February 13, 2014.

The Reserve Bank of India has announced the auction of 182-day Government of India Treasury Bills for notified amount of Rs 6,000 crore and Rs 9000 crore respectively. The auction will be conducted on May 20, 2015 using 'Multiple Price Auction' method.

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