Boosting the morale of the government further, the mid-year update of the UN World Economic Situation and Prospects (WESP) has said that India's economy is projected to grow by 7.6 per cent this year and 7.7 per cent in 2016, overtaking China which is projected to grow by 7 per cent in 2015 and 6.8 per cent next year.
The UN report has further stated that growth of world gross product is projected to improve slightly from 2.6 percent in 2014 to 2.8 percent in 2015 -- a downward revision by 0.3 percentage points from the forecast presented in the World Economic Situation and Prospects 2015 in January. In 2016, global growth is forecast to improve to 3.1 per cent but there are still considerable downside risks to the baseline forecast. While talking about South Asia's economic outlook it termed it as “largely favourable” since most economies are expected to experience a strengthening of growth in 2015-16 on the back of stronger domestic consumption and investment, and a pick-up in exports.
The UN report said that Across South Asia, the expansion is expected to be driven by buoyant household consumption and a gradual recovery in investment. Private sector demand will be underpinned by a more benign macroeconomic environment, including considerably lower inflation. It added that growth prospects for Iran and Pakistan have also improved moderately, although for both countries significant uncertainties remain.
The report also cautioned that there are still significant downside risks to the forecast related to the impact of the upcoming monetary policy normalization in the United States, ongoing uncertainties in the euro area, potential spillovers from geopolitical conflicts and persistent vulnerabilities in emerging economies.
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