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Increase in banks' leverage to strain the sector further: RBI FSR

26 Jun 2015 Evaluate

The Reserve Bank of India in its Financial Stability Report (FSR) June 2015, the eleventh issue of its half yearly publication has cautioned that banks' leverage has increased, which will further strain a sector groaning under bad loans. Reserve Bank of India (RBI) Governor Raghuram Rajan also warned of a 2013 rupee plunge repeat, adding that India needs to reduce its inefficiencies if it wants to insulate itself from the possible tightening by the US Federal Reserve. The report however said that India is better prepared this time round.

The report has warned about Indian banks' high levels of bad loans that have worsened their ability to repay debt. Adding that the falling profit margins and decreasing debt repayment capabilities of the corporate sector add to these concerns, though overall leverage level in Indian economy is comfortable when compared to other jurisdictions. The report said that macro stress tests suggest that current deterioration in the asset quality of SCBs may continue for few more quarters, and PSBs may have to bolster their provisions for credit risk from present levels, to meet the ‘expected losses’ if macroeconomic environment were to deteriorate under assumed stress scenarios.

Regarding the securities and commodities markets, the report highlighted that concerns emanating from rapid rise in algorithm trading in recent years draws need for caution for India’s securities markets. It said that the agricultural insurance needs urgent focus in the wake of frequent episodes of weather related calamities and their impact, particularly on small and marginal farmers.

The report highlighted that “A combination of global factors and concerted domestic policy decisions have helped, to a considerable extent, in improving the macroeconomic fundamentals of our economy as also in building additional buffers against future uncertainties. Stating that there has been significant improvement in the macroeconomic environment and going forward, economic performance is expected to be better.

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