Amid the growing concern of Greece exit from the European Union (EU), Finance Secretary Rajiv Mehrishi has said that the economic crisis in Greece may trigger capital outflows from India and the government is consulting the RBI to deal with the situation, which would take necessary steps to deal with the issue but added that India does not have a firm plan in place to deal with any significant fallout. Greece's financial crisis intensified with Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras announcing capital controls and shutdown of banks at least for a week.
Mehrishi said that “Greece crisis does not have any effect directly on India. But interest rate may firm up in Europe. In case of firming up of interest rate in Europe, there can be outflow of capital from India.' He added that this is a dynamic and evolving situation. There is no firm plan that we can access. Nobody can predict what the exact situation would be.
Finance Secretary said that if yields on euro bonds go up, it might impact inflows and outflows from India, adding that if yields on government securities go up in the US, that, too, may impact inflows and outflows. “We really don’t know how they (bond investors) will reallocate their portfolios."
Industry too has raised red flag on the crisis turning contagion and Engineering Export Promotion Council of India said that exports will be affected as the European Union is the largest destination for such shipments. The industry body said it sees indirect impact from the UK, Italy, Turkey and France. For April-May, engineering exports to the EU stood at $1.86 billion as against $1.89 billion in the year ago period.
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