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Yearly SBI Composite Index declines to 49.7 in July from 53.2 in June 2015

21 Jul 2015 Evaluate

Showing a sharp slump in manufacturing activities, the yearly SBI Composite Index, an indicator for manufacturing activity in the country, declined sharply to 49.7 in July from 53.2 in June 2015, its lowest level since October 2014. As per SBI research, the Monthly Index also declined to 46.7 this month from 47.0 in June.  An index value of 42 to 46 means (moderate decline), 46 to 50 (low decline), 50 to 52 (low growth), 52 to 55 (moderate growth) and above 55 high growth.

The SBI research stated that the declining momentum in credit growth is likely to have started impacting and this will lead to decreasing momentum in IIP growth. The report noted that IIP numbers for June may continue to be even weaker as the yearly SBI composite index for June 2015 had witnessed a decline. However, the July SBI index may signal that the deceleration in manufacturing momentum may be bottoming out.

The contraction in the SBI Composite Index has come in the backdrop of weak credit growth and weak mining activity in the past few months. The credit growth of all Scheduled Commercial Banks on a year on year basis continued to decline and reached 9.8 per cent (till June 26, 2015), compared to last year’s growth of 12.8 per cent.

Further, the report mentioned that the government push on infra, defence and renewable power seems to be the three pillar of future growth in the banking sector. Sector-wise, the road sector has drawn renewed interest in the wake of policy thrust by the government and outlook for sectors like textile, wood and wood product and auto components looks positive.

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