The World Bank has maintained India’s GDP growth forecast at 7.5 per cent for the current fiscal, same as its earlier June forecast. However, it warned that delays in the adoption and implementation of key reforms could affect investor sentiment. The World Bank has maintained the growth forecast even though Reserve Bank of India and other multilateral agencies think global situation will drag down the country's growth. But, the forecast for the next fiscal is down a tad, to 7.8 per cent from 7.9 per cent.
For the current financial year, RBI in its monetary policy review last month had forecasted India’s growth rate to 7.4 per cent from 7.6 per cent earlier. While, other multilateral lenders IMF and ADB had similarly cut India's forecast, largely because of softer global economy.
World Bank in its report has said that the fact that improved investor sentiment and resilience to external shocks are expected to increase India's growth rate to 7.5 per cent in FY2015 and further to 7.8 per cent in FY2016. However, a weak trade performance and financial sector vulnerabilities could hold back GDP growth. It also stated that India is strong enough to power the entire region to the fastest growing in the world.
World Bank in its regional report further said that South Asia is expected to maintain its lead as the fastest growing region in the world, led by a resilient India, by pitching growth to pick up to 7 per cent in 2015 from 6.9 per cent and further accelerate to 7.4 per cent in 2016. The World Bank feels solid growth in services, domestic consumption, a gradual rise of investments, limited exposure to the financial turmoil and an improved external position have given most South Asian countries important policy space.
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