Mirroring softer demand conditions across the country, the seasonally adjusted Nikkei Business Activity Index slowed to 51.3 in September from 51.8 in August, but remained above the 50-mark for the third straight month which separates contraction from expansion. Though, incoming new work at service providers rose for the third month in succession during September, but the rate of expansion eased since August. New order growth in the goods producing sector also softened and was the weakest since June.
As per the survey, economy lost steam in September with both services output and manufacturing production rising at slight and slower rates, the seasonally adjusted Nikkei India Composite PMI Output Index fell to 51.5 in September from 52.6 in August, highlighting the weakest rate of expansion in the current period of growth and reflecting weaker increases in both manufacturing and services output.
The level of outstanding business held by Indian service providers fell again in September. This was the third consecutive monthly drop in backlogs, although the rate of depletion was marginal overall. As a consequence of the slowdown, Indian service providers maintained employment levels broadly unchanged in September.
Though, the survey highlighted that input costs faced by services firms decreased in September for the first time in ten months, with survey participants reporting lower petrol prices. The decline in cost burdens was, however, only marginal. With purchase prices also falling at manufacturers, overall input costs across the private sector as a whole declined for the first time in six-and-a-half years. The prices charged sub-index slumped to a near 5-year low of 49.5 from 51.0 in August as falling commodity prices helped weaken input cost pressures.
Private sector businesses passed falling input prices on to clients as tariffs were lowered on average, although only marginal. The decline in charges was broad-based by sub-sector, with reductions seen in both manufacturing and services. Going forward, services activity is expected to rise over the coming 12 months, with firms linking optimism to favourable government policies, planned increases in marketing budgets and hopes of better economic conditions. Though, service providers expect further setbacks, as highlighted by the Future Output Index sliding to its lowest mark in the history of the series.
Start Research-backed Investing ...Now. Subscribe to Sapphire
MoneyWorks4Me is a SEBI-registered Investment Adviser (IA) dedicated to helping investors build long-term wealth through transparent, research-driven, conflict-free guidance. Founded in 2008, we started our journey as a Research Analyst (RA), providing deep fundamental analysis, intrinsic value insights, and long-term investing frameworks for Indian equities. In 2017, we transitioned to a full-fledged SEBI-registered Investment Adviser, strengthening our commitment to acting as a fiduciary—always putting the investor’s interest first.
To become India’s most trusted, research-powered fiduciary advisory platform—where every investor, regardless of experience, can make calm, confident, and well-reasoned investment decisions.
MoneyWorks4Me ensures this through: