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SBI Monthly Composite Index increases to 50.8 in October 2015

20 Oct 2015 Evaluate

Showing some signs of recovery, the SBI Composite Index, an indicator for manufacturing activity in the country has registered a month-on-month increase to 50.8 in October 2015 from 48.4 in September 2015. However, the yearly SBI composite index for October stood at 53.6 compared with last month index of 53.9. The SBI research report though pointed that mining and electricity are still acting as a drag on the economic activity and the upturn was majorly driven by manufacturing.

According to SBI sectors like power, steel, green energy, hydrocarbon and telecom will see a strong credit demand in the coming quarters. At the same time, personal loan segment, especially housing and vehicle loan are likely to see an uptick. Besides, the positive trends in capital goods sector suggest possible pick-up in economic momentum. Index of Industrial Production (IIP) is also driven majorly by manufacturing as revealed by higher ex-mining and ex-electricity growth. As SBI’s index predicts the industrial growth two months in advance, the bank’s research division expects 7 per cent growth in IIP for either the month of September or October 2015, or possibly both.

The SBI Composite Index captures two components of the manufacturing cycle namely month-on-month and year-on-year growth on a scale of 0 to 100. An index value of 42 to 46 means (moderate decline), 46 to 50 (low decline), 50 to 52 (low growth), while 52 to 55 means (moderate growth) and above 55 high growth.

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