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Impact of Chinese economic slowdown on India to be policy dependent: Arvind Panagariya

30 Nov 2015 Evaluate

NITI Aayog Vice Chairman Arvind Panagariya, amid the perception that Indian economy can gain from the deceleration of the Chinese economy, has said that the impact of China's economic slowdown on India will be largely dependent on how the country proceeds on policy reforms. India has sought China's assistance to increase the speed of the existing network as well as modernise some the of railway stations.

Panagariya said that China's slowdown is not a big surprise but quite contrary if it continued at 10 percent for the fifth decade that would be a surprise. He said that, “Chinese economy is $10 trillion, which is second largest. Even if it goes slower rate 6 to 7 per cent in ten years or less it will cross US economy which is around $16 trillion.”

NITI's Vice Chiarman pitched for large scale Chinese investments into India's massive infrastructure expansion plans and said that China should make its loans attractive compared to Japan's “incredibly attractive” finance. He further elaborated that Japanese are offering 40-year loan where there is no payments for 10 years and after that only 0.3 per cent a year. So it is a highly concessional loan. The Chinese are not offering anything close to that. So there is a big difference between the Chinese Japanese offers.

He also said that High-speed rail is an expensive proposition. What kind of finance the Chinese are willing to bring to the table is important. While, Japan is currently conducting feasibility study for Mumbai-Ahmedabad bullet train, China has undertaken a similar exercise for the Chennai-New Delhi corridor.

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