The committee headed by Chief Economic Advisor (CEA) Arvind Subramanian has listed various risk factors in the implementation of Goods and Service Tax (GST) bill. These factors include revenue shortfall and re-emergence of trust deficit between the Centre and the states.
The report stated that one risk of setting a revenue neutral rate (RNR) that is low is the re-emergence of a trust deficit between the Centre and the States as happened in relation to compensation for lost CST revenues after the global financial crisis. The committee has suggested a low RNR of 15 per cent which could translate into bulk of the goods being taxed at 17-18 per cent, with a low rate of 12 per cent on merit goods and high rate of 40 per cent on demerit or sin goods.
Besides, it has observed that revenue shortfall could result in a 'double whammy' for Centre as it would also affect the fiscal deficit and might delay compensation to the states, resulting in trust deficit. The report said that the revenue shortfall could be overcome by raising taxes on non-GST products like petroleum, alcohol and tobacco. Further, the Centre may also relax the deficit targets, adding that a moderately higher fiscal deficit due to a low GST will benefit consumers, especially poorer ones.
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