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Fitch retains India's sovereign rating at BBB-/Stable

15 Dec 2015 Evaluate

Global rating agency Fitch has retained India's sovereign rating at BBB-/Stable -- the lowest investment grade and said that the country will continue to post good growth despite subdued prospect for the Asia Pacific region amid expected rise in US rates, dollar strength, and lower commodity prices.

Fitch said that sovereigns are generally much less reliant on foreign-currency financing, and many countries now have more flexible exchange-rate regimes in place of the more prevalent use of explicit pegs before 1997. Adding that this gives authorities greater scope to let exchange rates act as a buffer today compared with the mid-1990s

However, the rating agency expects Emerging Asia growth to slow to 6.3 per cent in 2016 from 6.5 per cent, driven almost entirely by a projected slowdown in China.  Excluding the two giants China and India, the region is projected to expand 5.2 per cent in 2016 from 5 per cent, the fastest of any emerging region, it said in its report 'Emerging Asia Sovereign Outlook 2016

Talking about the headwinds, the report said 'dollar strength in the context of an expected rise in US rates, still-sluggish global trade growth and lower commodity prices pose a challenging set of circumstances for Emerging Asia in 2016 - which partly explains why the high growth rates of the mid-2000s look out of reach.

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