Bond yields creep higher post dwindling rate cut hopes

13 Mar 2012 Evaluate

Bond yields crawled higher as stronger than expected January's factory output reinforced expectations that the Reserve Bank of India will hold interest rates steady in its upcoming mid-quarterly policy review on Thursday, i.e. March 15, 2012.

Further, profit booking ahead of the important events and data, such as that of Wholesale Price Index data on March 14, 2012, RBI’s mid-quarterly policy review on March 15, 2012 and Union Budget 2012-13, has led to the spurt in the prices of the yields. However, absence of any unscheduled debt sale announcement so far from the government for the week may provide a ceiling to the upper limit of bond yields.

On the global front, US Treasury debt prices were steady to higher on Monday as a recent rise in yields and the prospect of a market-friendly Federal Reserve policy meeting this week supported a bid for US government debt. Meanwhile, Brent crude rebounded towards $126 on Tuesday as investors awaited comments from the US central bank after the outlook improved for the world's largest economy amid simmering tension between the West and Iran that could threaten oil supply.

The yields on 10-year benchmark 8.79% - 2021 bonds were at 8.32%, up from Monday's close of 8.29%.

The benchmark five-year interest rate swaps were at 7.53% from its previous close of 7.49%.

The Reserve Bank of India has announced the auction of 91-day  and 182-day Government of India Treasury Bills for notified amount of  Rs 8,000 crore and  Rs 4000 crore respectively. The auction will be conducted on March 14, 2012 using 'Multiple Price Auction' method.

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