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Assocham lowers India’s export outlook to $255- 260 billion for FY16

28 Dec 2015 Evaluate

The Associated Chambers of Commerce and Industry of India (Assocham) disagreeing with the government's claim that there is 'no crisis' on the outward shipments front, has lowered India’s export outlook to $255- 260 billion for the financial year 2015-16. Earlier in September this year the industry body had forecast the country's exports to be around $265-268 billion.

Assocham further said that 'There is no point shying away from the crisis, if it is there. The answer lies in recognising the problem without sweeping it under the carpet and then finding a way out. After all, nobody in India or elsewhere, for that matter can be blamed for the global crash in demand.' It further added that it would also not be correct to take consolation in the fact that the exports have fallen marginally in rupee terms as India's balance of payments is calculated along with the current account deficit in dollar terms and exports have a major contribution. Therefore, one cannot take comfort in currency depreciation.

Earlier, the government facing flak for 12 straight months of decline in exports, had said there is 'no crisis' in India on the export front and there is 'no need for alarm'. However, Assocham said the sector is in real crisis which goes well beyond petroleum products, gems and jewellery to highly job-oriented leather and leather products and has engulfed the entire agriculture exports witnessing sharp falls.

Contraction in exports continued for the 12th month in a row in November as outward shipments shrank 24.43 per cent to $20.01 billion amid a global demand slowdown. Cumulative value of exports during April-November 2015-16 stood at $174.30 billion as against $213.77 billion in the same period last year, down 18.46 per cent.

 

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