FICCI estimates fiscal deficit to be around 5.2% in FY’13

14 Mar 2012 Evaluate

The government is most likely to overshoot its targeted fiscal deficit of 4.6% of GDP this fiscal and should be near the 5.7-5.8% mark as estimated by Federation of Indian Chambers of Commerce and Industry (FICCI). Further it may be around the 5.2% mark in the next fiscal.

As per FICCI, the estimates are based on detailed government revenue expenditure trends. It has predicted the government might have to resort to some one time revenue mobilization if it wants to bring the deficit below 5% in the next fiscal. The government can hope to increase its one time revenues through inflows from 2G /4G. It has also advised the government to increase its tax rate and also bring agricultural income under the tax bracket to increase its revenue receipts.

It has further estimated that a revenue mobilisation of around Rs 40,000 - Rs 50,000 crore and more can bring down the fiscal deficit from 5.2% to below 5% in next fiscal. Finance Minister Pranab Mukherjee will present the Union Budget for 2012-13 fiscal on March 16. The upcoming budget is likely to be a challenge in terms of falling revenue receipts, inelastic expenditure and a stubborn fiscal deficit. Combined with this will be the challenge of reviving the economy in a sluggish world scenario. 

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