Markets to make a positive start on supportive global cues

15 Jan 2016 Evaluate
The Indian markets declined further in last session after a very choppy trade, all the good work done by Infosys numbers were washed out with a negative opening of European markets. Today the start is likely to be in green and some recovery can be seen in early hours, however there will be cautiousness too with fears of early gains not sustaining long. Also, as United Nations has downgraded its GDP growth forecast for India for 2016 to 7.5 percent from 8.2 percent estimated earlier, largely due to slow progress in implementing reform policies. The impact of Infosys numbers, which had beaten street expectations for the third consecutive quarter, after a lacklustre performance for six straight quarters, is likely to be seen on the IT pack. There will be some buzz in the auto sector after major automobile manufacturers assured the government that they will produce BS-VI fuel compliant vehicles of new models from April 2020, but demanded that the government unveil a scrapping policy to phase out old vehicles. Retail stocks too may see some upmove with the CII-BCG report stating that India's retail market has the potential to grow from $ 630 billion in 2015 to $ 1,100-1,200 billion in 2020 on the back of rising income levels and increased urbanization.

The US markets ended higher in last session, erasing most of their previous day losses, amid a major rebound in oil prices and indications that the Federal Reserve could delay the pace of its first tightening cycle in nearly a decade. The Asian markets have made a positive start, tailing the rally on Wall Street overnight and a bounce in oil prices.

Back home, it turned out to be a lackadaisical performance from the benchmark indices on Thursday as they failed to snap the session in the green territory and settled below the neutral line. Sustained selling by funds amid a weak trend in global markets following overnight sell-off in US markets on renewed jitters about the world’s top economy and broader concerns about global growth dampened the domestic sentiment. The NSE’s 50-share broadly followed index - Nifty settled with losses of twenty five points below the psychological 7,550 levels while Bombay Stock Exchange’s Sensitive Index - Sensex shed eighty one points and closed below the psychological 24,800 mark. Sentiments weakened further with a key macro-economic data showing acceleration in inflation trends. The rise in wholesale price index (WPI) diminished hopes of a rate cut by the country's apex bank and subdued investors' sentiments. However, losses remained capped with the Finance Minister Arun Jaitley’s statement that the economy is moving in the right direction and the pace of growth will gather momentum in the coming quarters on the back of on-going structural reforms. Earlier on the Dalal Street, the benchmarks got off to a sedate opening tracking the dismal leads prevailing in Asian markets following a massive sell-off on Wall Street overnight amid the relentless slide in oil prices and concerns over growth as the Federal Reserve's latest Beige Book survey of economic conditions pointed to more sluggish US economic growth. After the subdued opening, the key gauges plunged to lowest point in the day on sharp across the board sell-off. Thereafter started the road to recovery for the bourses which kept slowly but steadily moving towards the neutral line. The frontline indices even managed to break into the positive terrain in mid noon trades but only for a brief period, on account of better-than-expected third quarter earnings from Infosys. But some final hour profit booking followed by mild short covering ensured that the key gauges to end the session on consolidated note. Finally, the BSE Sensex declined by 81.14 points or 0.33% to 24772.97, while the CNX Nifty lost 25.60 points or 0.34% to 7,536.80.

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