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Spectrum sale can help meet FY17 3.5% fiscal gap target: India Ratings

26 Feb 2016 Evaluate

Ahead of the Union Budget 2016-17, the domestic ratings agency India Ratings has said that the government can achieve 3.5 per cent fiscal deficit target for 2016-17 from spectrum auction amid concerns over the fiscal consolidation roadmap as there is a possibility of government making a windfall gain in its non-tax revenue account in case the spectrum sale takes place in FY17.

India Ratings however said that there is a likelihood of fiscal slippage in the current fiscal to 4.1 per cent as against the targeted 3.9 per cent due to lower than anticipated GDP growth. It said that at an absolute level, the government will be able to get the fiscal deficit at Rs 5.6 lakh crore, but the lower GDP growth will push the number higher in percentage terms.

It said that the Indian industry will also be keenly looking at the fiscal stance of the government, specifically for details on how additional spending can result in more capital investments. Further, it flagged that while capital expenditure increased in FY15's revised estimates, it is still stuck at 1.7 per cent of the GDP and there is a need to push it to 2 per cent.

On the sectoral front, the rating agency said that the infrastructure sector is likely to be a priority in the Union Budget but the government needs to provide alternative avenues for infra funding, an increase in the fund allocation for highways, a framework for revival of stalled projects and a road map for the road regulator. Further for the auto sector the budget may entail a provision for introduction of a 'scrappage' scheme for commercial vehicles and a reduction in excise duty on large cars and SUVs.


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