International oil prices likely to impact India’s economic growth in 2011-12

20 May 2011 Evaluate

According to the Chief Statistician of India, Anant, the high crude oil prices could impact India’s economic growth in 2011-12 and it is projected that the GDP is likely to grow by around 8.5% during the fiscal. The headline inflation will fall below the 8% mark by August-September, if the country receives a normal monsoon. Oil situation is also a matter of worry and it is likely that oil prices internationally will harden significantly, crude is also a major input. So it may be a factor which will dampen some of India’s growth.

In the pre-budget economic survey, the government of India had projected that the economies GDP would grow by 9% this fiscal year. Whereas the county’s central bank, in its monetary policy for 2011-12 released in the start of this month, stated that the GDP growth will be around 8% and inflationary pressure would affect growth. On different-different stand, this RBI figure was supported by the Pranab Mukherjee and other seniors in the government also said this years’ GDP will be less than 9 %.  

At FICCI’s event, Anant stated that, the current political turmoil in parts of the Middle East and North Africa (MENA), along with the recent tsunami and earthquake and subsequent radiation leakage that hit Japan, could affect oil prices. “The Middle East situation is an area of concern. It is likely that the fall-out of the events in Japan may temporarily raise demand for fossil fuel like oil and gas while they review their nuclear dependence... I suspect these factors will contribute to a certain measure of hardening of crude prices,” the chief statistician added.

© 2025 The Alchemists Ark Pvt. Ltd. All rights reserved. MoneyWorks4Me ® is a registered trademark of The Alchemists Ark Pvt. Ltd.

×