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Indian economy likely to expand by 7.6% in 2016-17: UN report

29 Apr 2016 Evaluate

United Nations in its Economic and Social Survey for Asia and the Pacific-2016 report has projected a positive near term growth outlook for India and stated that the urban household spending is expected to drive the momentum amid domestic consumption demand aided by steady employment and a relatively low inflation. The report has projected that in the year 2016-17 the Indian economy is likely to expand by 7.6 per cent and further accelerate to 7.8 per cent in 2017-18.

The report stated that the fixed investment conditions are seen to be improving because of lower borrowing costs and a more enabling business environment brought about by a better World Bank ranking on ease of doing business. It linked the overall strength of domestic demand to progress made in implementing structural reforms and how rapidly large-scale stalled infrastructure projects are unlocked.

The report further highlighted that though some progress has been made in reforming the fiscal policy such as the rationalisation of fuel price subsidies, but implementation of the Goods and Services Tax remains an important reform that is being held up due to political deadlock.

The UNESCAP report also pointed to the challenges such as high levels of stressed assets in the banking sector and a fragile business confidence that could constrain investment growth. It linked the overall strength of domestic demand to progress made in implementing structural reforms and how rapidly large-scale stalled infrastructure projects are unlocked.

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