Bond yields hit 3-month high on record supply of debt next week

28 Mar 2012 Evaluate

Bond yields hit a 3-month high with investors seen cutting down their holdings further as the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) is due to sell a record amount of weekly debt in the holiday-shortened week. The apex bank is all set to sell a record of $3.55 billion next week. The announcement comes as a part of the government's plan to borrow Rs 3.70 lakh crore for the broader April-September period, accounting for the majority of its Rs 5.70 lakh crore borrowing for the full fiscal year.  

On the global front, US Treasuries prices rose on Tuesday, assisted by Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke's signal early this week that the US central bank would keep monetary policy accommodative in order to quicken economic growth and cut unemployment. Meanwhile, Brent crude fell for a second session on Wednesday, breaching $125, on the possibility of a release of strategic oil reserves by the United States, even after crude stockpiles in the world's largest oil user rose more than expected last week. 

The yields on 10-year benchmark 8.79% - 2021 bonds were at 8.59% from the previous close of 8.50%.

The benchmark five-year interest rate swaps was up 3 basis points at 7.56% from previous close.

The RBI on March 27 announced the details of government borrowing plan through marketable dated securities (or government bonds in simple term) for the first half of the fiscal year 2012-13. In between April-Sept, 2012, the government will sell bonds worth Rs 3.70 lakh crore (gross) out of its budgeted target of Rs 5.69 lakh for the full year. This will be equivalent to a net borrowing of Rs 2.85 lakh crore out of Rs 4.70 lakh crore slated for FY13.

Further, the borrowing calendar shows that the government will be borrowing around Rs 15,000 crore on an average every week between April 02 and September 28, 2012 from the market. In the month of April, the gross borrowing will be around Rs 65,000 crore while May will see the highest bond issuances worth Rs 78,000 crore in H1. The rest of the months are as follows: June at around Rs 45,000 crore, July at Rs 61,000 crore, August at Rs 75,000 crore and September at Rs 46,000 crore. The tenure of those securities is in the range of 5-9 year, 10-14 year, 15-19 year and 20 year and above.

The RBI has announced the auction of 182 and 91 day Government of India Treasury Bills for notified amount of Rs 4,000 crore and Rs 8,000 crore respectively. The auction will be conducted on March 28, 2012 using 'Multiple Price Auction' method.

The Fifteen State Governments have announced the sale of 10-year State Development Loans (SDLs) for an aggregate amount of Rs 6,579.00 crore (face value) through yield based auction using multiple price auction method. The auction will be conducted by the RBI at Mumbai on March 29, 2012.

 

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