Soon after the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) announced it monetary policy, keeping rates unchanged, Credit rating agency Moody’s Investors Service stated that now with a status quo, the transmission of monetary policy can only influence India’s economic development and credit profile. According to Moody’s, a change in the RBI’s management of liquidity should support transmission of monetary policy. It said RBI's accommodative monetary policy stance is unlikely to translate into a rapid expansion of credit and added that in medium term the bankruptcy law, if effectively implemented, is credit positive for banks and will contribute to ease monetary policy transmission to the real economy.
Moody's Investors Service said that the transmission of monetary policy will depend on progress in the clean-up of banks' balance sheets and added that while the process has started, we do not expect rapid progress and a significant change in the ability and willingness of banks to increase lending or in corporates' appetite for borrowing. Besides, it said that the transmission will depend on a range of factors like the effectiveness of the monetary policy framework in maintaining inflation at moderate levels could be tested this year.
Saying that monetary policy stance was broadly in line with market expectations, Moody's said there could be some short-lived spikes in inflation, driven by food prices. In its second bi-monthly policy review on 7 June 2016 for the current fiscal, RBI maintained status quo on interest rate, while pegging economic growth at 7.6 per cent and retail inflation target at 5 per cent for January 2017.
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