Bond yields rise post June inflation comes at 9.44%

14 Jul 2011 Evaluate

Pre Inflation Scenario :

Bond yields were trading unchanged from its previous close on Thursday as trader’s preferred staying on the sidelines ahead of domestic inflation data for June due coupled with weekly food inflation data to be announced later in the noon. The street expectation is that India's wholesale price index probably rose 9.70 percent in June from a year earlier, quickening from May, on rising food and fuel prices.

On the global front, US 10-year Treasuries slipped in Asia trade on Thursday after Moody's Investors Service warned the United States may lose its top-notch credit rating in the next few weeks if lawmakers let the government miss debt payments.

The yields on 10-year benchmark 7.80% - 2021 was trading at 8.24% from its previous close of 8.30% on Wednesday.

The benchmark five-year interest rate swaps were down at 7.54% from its previous close of 7.59% on Wednesday.

Post Inflation Scenario:

Meanwhile, the annual rate of inflation, based on monthly WPI, stood at 9.44% for the month of June 2011 as compared to 9.06% seen in the previous month and 10.25% during the corresponding month of the previous year. Build up inflation in the financial year so far was 2.34% compared to a buildup of 2.57% in the corresponding period of the previous year.

After showing signs of moderation for two weeks, India’s food inflation, measured by wholesale price index (WPI), increased to 8.31% for week ended July 2 from 7.61% in the previous week, reinforcing expectations for another round of rate hike by the Reserve Bank on July 27.

The yields on 10-year benchmark 7.80% - 2021 was at 8.28%, lower by 2 bps from its previous close of 8.30%.

The benchmark five-year interest rate swaps were at 7.55% from its previous close of 7.59% on Wednesday.

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