Emerging economies like that of India, Brazil, Russia and China have shown positive signs of growth in February as compared to January 2012, according to the Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development's (OECD) composite leading indicators.Other economies that are faring well are that of the US and Japan. The composite leading indicators are also pointing towards a potential turning point in economic activity for the eurozone.
The OECD is a Paris based think tank that puts out leading indicators based on the industrial production data for various economies of the world. Leading indicators are designed to anticipate turning points in economic activity relative to trend and they tend to precede turning points in economic activity relative to long-term trend by approximately six months.
OECD has stated that its lead indicator of economic activity in India rose to 98.6% in February from 98.4% in January. This was the fourth straight monthly increase. Amongst the rich nations, the indicators for Japan and the United States continue to show strong signs of regained momentum in economic activity.
While the indicators for the Euro area as such point to a potential turning point but the assessments for the four major European economies remain divergent. While Italy and France point to continued sluggish economic activity, Germany and the United Kingdom are showing signs of positive change.
It has further forecasted that if the flow of macro data continues to remain positive in the coming months, one can also expect larger flow of speculative capital into commodity derivatives. Growth prospects will spur risk appetite and funds that are currently in the sidelines will come in. This will have implications for market prices.
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