India’s oldest and largest independent think tank, National Council of Applied Economic Research’s (NCAER’s) Business Confidence Index (BCI) registered a sequential increase of 2.2% in June quarter of 2016-17, mainly driven by improvement in perception about economic conditions and financial position of firms in the next six months.
The NCAER in its 97th round of Business Expectations Survey (BES) has said that the increase in BCI was helped by improvement in sentiment in two out of its four components. BES tracks the business sentiment of over 500 Indian companies to compute the composite BCI. The think-tank said that BCI is developed on the basis of responses to four questions, of these two are devoted to macro factors and the other two to micro. It said sentiment about the component like present investment climate is positive and remained largely unchanged. However, perception on the metrics as capacity utilization is close to or above optimal level showed a decline.
NCAER stated that firms were more optimistic about future economic conditions than about the present economic situation. Further it stated that all enterprise groups barring those with an annual turnover of less than Rs 1 crore declined by 9.1% show an increase or no change in BCI between April and July 2016. Firms with annual turnover of Rs 1-10 crore, Rs 100-500 crore and more than Rs 500 crore registered a significant rise in BCI whereas firms with an annual turnover of Rs 10-100 crore showed no change between the two rounds. The maximum growth of 8.1% was witnessed in the case of firms with an annual turnover of Rs 100-500 crore.
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