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India Inc's credit quality improved in first half of current fiscal: CRISIL

04 Oct 2016 Evaluate

The leading rating agency - CRISIL in its latest report has stated that credit quality of Indian companies has improved in the first half of current fiscal. For the first time in the last 10 semi-annual periods, the debt weighted credit ratio rose above 1.The credit ratio (number of upgrades to downgrades) came in at 1.2 times in first half of fiscal 2017 compared with 0.8 times in second half of fiscal 2016.

As per the report, there were 646 upgrades to 553 downgrades in the first half. Upgrades were concentrated in the domestic consumption-linked sectors such as auto ancillaries and packaging, and in the exports-linked pharmaceutical sector. On other hand, downgrades were mainly in the investment-linked sectors such as construction, industrial machinery, real estate and metals. Financial (capital structure, debt protection and liquidity) and business (demand, profitability and working capital cycle) reasons contributed equally to rating actions.

CRISIL expects the overall credit ratio to stay above 1 in the near term led by an expected rural leg-up to private consumption following a near-normal monsoon. However, debt downgrades in value terms is expected to be more in the second half because of continuing pressure on the investment-linked sectors. Further, it said that the focus now shifts to the sustainability of the improvement in credit quality. The investment cycle is yet to pick up, there hasn’t been a material deleveraging in corporate balance sheets, and weak assets continue to mount in banking. To boot, global growth is also weak.

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