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Banks likely to restructure loans worth Rs 2 lakh crore in FY13: CRISIL

25 Apr 2012 Evaluate

The amount of loans to be restructured in 2012-13 is likely to go up to Rs 2 lakh crore, as per the rating agency CRISIL. What is more disturbing is the fact that unlike earlier when the restructured loans majorly represented small and medium enterprise (SME) accounts, this time around they consist of large corporate houses, and over two-thirds of the loans restructured till December 2011 had a ticket size of over Rs 1,000 crore.

Total restructured loans will account for 3.5% of the total advances as on March 2013 and the total amount of loans  likely to be restructured over the two year period of 2011-12 and 2012-13 is estimated at nearly Rs 2 lakh crore.

The large quantum of restructuring reflects the prevailing stress on corporate India's credit quality because of lower profitability, weak demand and tight liquidity. The sectors with large debt are particularly vulnerable to restructuring, and nearly 30% of the restructuring is expected in the power sector. The other susceptible sectors include aviation, construction, engineering, steel, textiles and telecom infrastructure.

CRISIL expects the pressure on banks' asset quality to continue in 2012-13, as indicated by the increased loan restructuring and non-performing assets (NPAs) in the sector. The large quantum of restructuring will help restrict the increase in banks' reported NPAs.

Furthermore, banks' gross NPAs (non-performing assets) are set to increase to 3.2% by March 2013, from 2.9% as on December 2011. The increase in NPAs reflects the expectation of slippages in the agriculture and SME portfolios.

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