Markets to make a soft-to-cautious start on mixed global cues

01 Nov 2016 Evaluate
The Indian markets though made a marginally lower start of the Samvat, as the benchmark indices ended modestly in red in the short Muhurat Trading of last session, but Sensex in the trade regained psychological mark of 28000 supported by gains in pharma and IT stocks, while some selling appeared in banking and power stocks that dragged the markets lower. Today the start of the new week and new month is likely to be a bit cautious. Though, traders will be getting encouragement with Core sector output rising to three months high by 5 per cent in September, compared to growth of 2.4 per cent in the year-ago period, on the back of a sustained growth in the steel sector and a rise in refinery products. Also, a private report has said that the Indian economy is well-prepared, even if not completely immune, for any external risk in case the US Federal Reserve normalises rates in December. Traders will also be eyeing the manufacturing PMI for the month of October to be released later in the day. There will be some buzz in the FMCG stocks, as a report of the Assocham-TechSci Research has stated that domestic fast moving consumer goods (FMCG) companies have performed significantly well vis-a-vis the multinational companies (MNCs) in India during 2015-16. There will be lots of result announcements, while the auto companies will be reporting their monthly sales numbers.

The US markets once again showed a lackluster trade and ended marginally down in last session, with traders showing their reluctance to make more substantial moves ahead of several significant events scheduled for later this week. The Asian markets have made mostly a lower start, extending their decline, tailing the somberness in US markets overnight. Japanese market too was down ahead of BOJ meeting. The energy stocks were the major losers in early trade in the region following a plunge in oil prices.

Back home, value buying coupled with healthy quarterly results by some heavyweights, buoyed the Indian equity markets on the last trading session of the Samvat year 2072 and beginning of the November series of derivatives contracts. Investors got some confidence with the report that Government is considering further relaxing foreign direct investment (FDI) norms in several areas, including trading, with an eye on more inflows. According to the report, the commerce and industry ministry is already on the job in this direction. There are certain sticking points in single brand retail trading that need to be reviewed. The government may also consider easing certain norms in the information and broadcasting sector, among others. Besides, appreciation in Indian rupee too aided sentiments. Indian rupee appreciated by 6 paise to 66.80 against the dollar at the time of equity markets closing on increased selling of the US currency by exporters and banks. Some support also came with Finance Minister Arun Jaitley's statement that the economic situation in Asia is not as pessimistic as the rest of the world and it has a higher growth potential. Though, he also said India will have to undergo rapid urbanisation in the next two decades and conceded that management or urban infrastructure, especially of water will become a serious challenge. However, gains remained capped with report that foreign institutional investors continued to remain sellers in Indian equities with net sales of Rs 470 crore on October 27, 2016. Back home, the local benchmarks started the first day of the November F&O series on a subdued note, amid weak global cues, weighed down by profit taking in some index heavyweights. The frontline indices kept losing steam thereafter and even drifted to the lowest point in the session in mid morning trades. However, the psychological 8600 and 27800 levels proved as strong support levels for the key gauges as the benchmarks soon recovered from the lows and clawed back into the green territory in late morning session. Markets despite a strong initial trade of the first day of Samvat 2073, made a modestly lower closing on Sunday, the mood that seemed jubilant in the beginning, turned a bit cautious in the short Muhurat trading session. There was a concern on reports that margins between Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton minimized for the US Presidential election. Finally BSE Sensex closed lower by 11.30 points or 0.04% to 27,930.21, while Nifty was down by 12.30 points or 0.14%. Indian markets remain closed on Monday for 'Diwali Balipratipada'.


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