Markets to see a strong start tailing positive global cues

10 Nov 2016 Evaluate
The Indian markets made a strong come back from the severe early fall, to close with cut of just over a percent. Today, the start is likely to be in green and the markets will be recovering the previous session losses with traders taking the Donald Trump’s victory in stride. Industry body ASSOCHAM has expressed confidence that apprehensions linked to US President elect Donald Trump would certainly prove wrong even as India Inc looks forward to taking bilateral economic engagement to a greater level under the new administration. India Inc can join hands with the Trump Administration in building of the US infrastructure projects. The Indian industry has always been a great companion for the US industries in terms of enhancing value even to the American jobs. Meanwhile, Union Finance Minister Arun Jaitley has said the Modi government's decision to withdraw Rs 500 and Rs 1000 notes will move the country towards a cashless economy. He also said that deposits of now-defunct old Rs 500 and Rs 1,000 currency notes in bank accounts will not enjoy immunity from tax and law will apply on source of such money. Traders will also be getting some support with report that the Centre’s net tax kitty rose up to Rs 8.51 lakh crore between April and October 2016. Net direct tax collections jumped up 10.66 per cent to Rs 3.77 lakh crore in October, while direct tax mop-up was more robust and increased 26.7 per cent to Rs 4.85 lakh crore. Pharma stocks will keep buzzing as the US is the world’s largest drug market and Drug prices and the worrying cost of healthcare featured prominently in Trump’s campaign.

The US markets recovering from the early slide posted strong gains in last session after Donald Trump defeated Hillary Clinton. He has promised that he will build a wall along the border with Mexico, suspend the Syrian refugee resettlement program, repeal and replace the Affordable Care Act and renegotiate NAFTA. The Asian markets have made a strong start and the Japanese markets has recovered more than what it had lost in last session's biggest daily drop since the Brexit poll. Other indices in the region too are up in range of 1-2 percent.

Back home, Indian equity indices staged a sharp recovery in the second half of the trading session as the market took Donald Trump's victory in its stride. Donald John Trump was elected the 45th president of the United States on Tuesday, becoming the least politically experienced candidate to ascend to the office in the nation’s 240-year history. Investors fear a Trump victory could cause global economic and trade turmoil and years of policy unpredictability, discouraging the Federal Reserve from raising interest rates in December as long expected. IT stocks came under pressure as investors reacted to the US presidential elections result. For the $150 billion IT services industry a Trump victory will only add to its woes and challenges the industry is facing on growth due to automation and technology disruption. Trump right from the start of his campaign days has stated that he wants to bring jobs back to the US. This includes both the manufacturing jobs that China has taken away and employment in tech industries that has come to India. On the domestic front, sentiments got undermined on Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s announcement that 500 and 1,000 rupee banknotes would be withdrawn from circulation at midnight to crack down on rampant corruption and counterfeit currency. The surprise move was designed to bring billions of dollars worth of cash in unaccounted wealth into the mainstream economy, but this move will adversely impact the country’s economy in near term, given that about 40% of the economy is driven by small-and medium-sized enterprises that largely depend on cash transactions. Sectors like real estate, construction material, and jewellery that use more of black money will take a big knock, while e-commerce sector having cash on delivery may feel impact on sales. Every unorganised sector in every trade also will feel the impact of this bold move. However, investors took some sigh of relief with the report that a new and simpler portal for the incoming Goods and Services Tax regime went live on Tuesday that will enable easy filing of returns and tax payments through credit/debit cards and other modes. Finally, the BSE Sensex declined 338.61 points or 1.23% to 27252.53, while the CNX Nifty dropped 111.55 points or 1.31% to 8,432.00.

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