Markets to get mildly green-to-cautious start on mixed global cues

11 Nov 2016 Evaluate
The Indian markets rebounded in last session, covering most of the losses of previous one, as riskier assets staged a dramatic reversal following Donald Trump's stunning upset in the U.S. presidential election. Today, the start is likely to be mildly in green and the markets will show some cautiousness tailing the mixed global cues. There will be some support with the International Monetary Fund (IMF) supporting India's efforts to fight corruption through the currency control measures announced this week, but it has stressed taking care to minimise disruptions in the economy. Meanwhile, Finance minister Arun Jaitley has said that the government will continue tax reforms, even as he criticised global agencies for not fully appreciating the efforts made by the government. He also said that the government will meet its target of reining in fiscal deficit at 3.5% of GDP. There will be buzz in India Inc, with Reserve Bank of India (RBI) in a step to address corporate stress, making sweeping changes to existing loan recast schemes, it has given lenders additional time up to 180 days for hammering out a restructuring package under the scheme for sustainable structuring of stressed asset (S4A). Previously, the time limit was 90 days. The Tata group stock will be in action again with independent directors of Tata Chemicals reposing their faith on Cyrus Mistry leadership amidst the Tata Sons move to remove him as Chairman from all operating Tata Group companies. There will be lots of earnings announcements too, to keep the markets in action.

The US markets made a mixed closing in last session with financial stocks moving higher amid optimism about reduced regulation under Trump. The Asian markets have made a mixed start, there was cautiousness in the regional currency markets amid speculation the Federal Reserve will boost interest rates to cap inflation as a Donald Trump-led administration steps up spending.

Back home, a session after displaying a distressing performance, Indian equity indices have managed to pull through a dazzling performance by vivaciously rallying around percentage points on Thursday, thanks to the hefty short covering in the beaten down Metal, Banking and Realty counters. The relentless across the board value picking ensured that the frontline indices settle over the psychological 8,500 and 27,500 levels amid the tentative recovery in risk appetite globally. Marketmen across Europe and Asia brushed aside the shock of the Trump victory in the US election. Trump pledged in his speech Wednesday to unify a deeply divided nation, helping to calm jitters in global financial markets. Investors had worried because his campaign promises carried few policy details, making him an unknown quantity compared with his rival, Hillary Clinton, seen as a safe choice. On the domestic front, sentiments remained up-beat with Union Finance Minister Arun Jaitley’s statement that tax collections will go up considerably in the medium-to-long term as more people will come under the tax net due to the demonetisation of Rs 500 and Rs 1,000 currency notes. According to him, the step by the government to crack down on black money, terror financing and corruption not merely nudges the economy towards a cashless society but is a significant push in that direction. The move will establish credibility of the Indian economy in the world and will also expand the country’s GDP. Some support also came with report that the Centre’s net tax kitty rose up to Rs 8.51 lakh crore between April and October 2016. Net direct tax collections jumped up 10.66% to Rs 3.77 lakh crore in October, while direct tax mop-up was more robust and increased 26.7% to Rs 4.85 lakh crore. On the global front, Asian markets ended higher on Thursday, while European counterparts appeared to be in a sanguine mood in early deals. Back home, finally, the BSE Sensex gained 265.15 points or 0.97% to 27517.68, while the CNX Nifty rose 93.75 points or 1.11% to 8,525.75.

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