Bond yields edged lower on Tuesday, as investors are expecting a rate cut of 25 basis points, perhaps as early as next month. The chances of lower inflation due to a short term hit to consumption will give the RBI incentive to cut rates. However, the rupee breaching the 67-mark against the US dollar by plunging 42 paise to 67.67 at the forex market, weighed on the sentiment. A weak rupee does not auger well for foreign inflows, as any depreciation in local currency eats into profits of foreign investors when they redeem their investments.
On the global front, the bond market sell-off resumed on Monday on the heels of the worst week for US Treasuries in more than seven years, on growing worries that inflation will resurge under the policies of President-elect Donald Trump. Meanwhile, US oil prices rose on Tuesday to move away from a nearly two-month low struck the day before, pushed higher by expectations of falling shale output and renewed optimism that OPEC will deliver on touted production cuts.
Back home, the yields on new 10 year Government Stock were trading 9 basis points lower at 6.64% from its previous close of 6.73% on Friday.
The benchmark five-year interest rates were trading 9 basis points higher at 6.49% from its previous close of 6.58% on Friday.
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