After many domestic and global agencies forecasted a deceleration in India’s economic growth, due to demonetization, the government too seems to be conceding the fact. Commerce and Industry Minister Nirmala Sitharaman has said that economic output in the current quarter may get affected, with the government’s demonetization drive temporarily hitting commercial activities in some sectors.
Sitharaman said that it is only the first week or ten days (following the demonetisation announcement) when there was (a) real hard demand for lower denomination or for Rs 500 notes, which gradually came into the market. That week, commercial transactions would have taken an impact. But I think revival will happen, this quarter, there may be an impact on the outflow. It will protract after that, she added that the economy will expand subsequently as the Reserve Bank of India is releasing more cash now and banks have greater supply.
Sitharaman also pointed out that the government was taking steps specifically to address the problems of people in rural areas. She added that “After having heard a lot about agriculture workers and rural areas not receiving as much cash as they would want, the Finance Ministry reviewed the situation... I am given to believe that in the rural areas, there will be more cash flowing.”
In a major step to check black money, Prime Minister Narendra Modi announced demonetization of Rs 500 and 1000 currency notes with effect from midnight 8-9 November. The withdrawal of bank notes accounting for 86 per cent of the money in circulation has created a cash crunch in the economy.
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