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Airlines set to add an additional capacity of 20-25 per cent: ICRA

09 Dec 2016 Evaluate

Domestic rating agency, ICRA in its latest report on aviation has said that the airlines are set to increase an additional capacity of 20-25 per cent over the next three to four years even though earnings are falling, due to competitive pressures and the resultant hit on profitability. The report added that the growth will be driven by sizeable order backlog of the market leader Indigo, GoAir, Jet Airways and SpiceJet coupled with the expected fleet expansion of new airlines Vistara and AirAsia. The capacity expansion will also be boosted by the launch of two new airlines, Air Carnival and Zoom Air.

According to the report, the companies need to ensure strengthening their liquidity position to protect from unforeseen shocks such as sudden spikes in jet fuel prices, which can put negative pressure on operating cash flows. The challenge to recovery and profitability other than an increase in fuel prices is a failure to maintain pricing discipline by offering deeply discounted fares.

It further said that in the near term, the balance sheet of aviation industry is expected to remain under pressure except the carriers reduce debt burden by improving operating performance or by introducing an equity investment and to maintain growth the government need to address on the aviation infrastructure requirements and regulatory matters, which have constrained performance of airlines.

The domestic aviation industry witnessed an annual growth of 22.5% in the first half of current financial year, making the domestic market the fastest-growing aviation market in the world. The comparative numbers for the second growth market of Russia is way below half of it at around 10 per cent, while China is at around 6 per cent and the US, the largest market at 3-4 per cent.

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