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Implementation of reforms likely to boost India's medium-term growth: Moody’s

10 Jan 2017 Evaluate

The global rating agency, Moody’s Investor Service in its latest report titled ‘Asia Pacific: 2017 Outlook’ has said that ongoing implementation of reforms in India is likely to boost medium-term growth. It also said that government's capacity to implement reforms and policy effectiveness will decide India's rating going forward. The rating agency has maintained a positive outlook on India's rating (Baa3) in November 2016 based on expectation that economic and institutional reforms will support continued robust growth.

According to the report, beyond the short-term negative impact on growth, demonetisation has the potential to raise government revenues and provide some fiscal space to support growth if required. The report said that measures including relaxation of foreign investment restrictions, passage of the Goods and Services Tax, and advancement of a workable bankruptcy code have potential to stimulate private sector investment, which could lead to stable, balanced growth and gradually lower the government debt burden.

Moody’s said that the 2017 outlook creditworthiness of sovereigns in Asia Pacific is stable. The rating agency further said that the capacity of governments to implement measures and the effectiveness of policies in achieving the respective governments' objectives will shape the sovereigns' credit profiles over the coming year. It also said that in addition to external trade and financing pressures, a key driver of sovereign credit trends will be the policy efforts of governments themselves. Further, rising income levels and strengthening institutions will offer support to several sovereign credit profiles in the region.

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