Markets to remain in positive mood on sanguine global cues

12 Jan 2017 Evaluate
The Indian markets rallied in last session with the Sensex hitting two months high after the World Bank said that the “adverse effects” of demonetization will disappear in the medium term. Today, the start is likely to be in green on mostly positive global cues and traders will be getting some support with Finance Minister Arun Jaitley’s statement that the implementation of the Goods and Services Tax (GST), coupled with a digitised economy ushered in by demonetisation, will make India’s economy “look much cleaner and bigger”. However, there will be some cautiousness too, as the RBI governor Urjit Patel ahead of the budget has warned against squandering macroeconomic stability gains through giveaways and said that high government debt was hurting India's ratings. Meanwhile, NITI Aayog has estimated a growth rate of 8% for 2016-17 as per a ‘cautiously optimistic’ prognosis it has laid out in the appraisal document for the Twelfth Five-Year Plan, flagging the lack of reforms in land acquisition, labour and simplification of administrative procedures as impediments to growth. The review, however, does not take into account the impact of demonetisation. Steel stocks are likely to remain in action on reports of Chinese capacity shutdowns. 

The US markets ended higher despite a volatile trade in last session, reacting to President-elect Donald Trump's comments during his first press conference in several months. Though his comments made the drug stocks nervous and they went for sell-off. The Asian markets have made a mixed start with some indices trading in red led by the Japanese market which is down due to strength in yen against dollar, after Donald Trump’s first press conference since his election victory gave scant detail on policy.

Back home, Indian benchmark indices staged a blockbuster performance on Wednesday by vivaciously rallying close to a percent in the session and settling above the psychological 8,350 (Nifty) and 27,100 (Sensex) levels. Tuesday’s optimism got spilled over into the Wednesday’s session helping the frontline indices in extending the winning momentum for second successive session as investors are hoping that Budget 2017 to be unveiled on February 1, would contain incentives for companies to help prop up an economy being hit by a ban on higher-value cash notes. Market percipients continued to build hefty positions across the board as sentiments got a boost with Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s statement that India is on threshold of becoming most digitised economy in the world. While he also declared his ambition to bring about a paradigm shift through a series of historic changes, reiterating the government's commitment to reforms and projecting India as a bright spot amid global gloom after having emerged as the world's fastest-growing economy. Some support also came with Finance Minister Arun Jaitley’s statement that the Centre is still aiming to roll out the Goods and Services Tax (GST) regime from April 1. He further said while most of the issues have been resolved, there are a few critical issues that still need to be addressed. However, caution prevailed ahead of President-elect Donald Trump's first presser due later in the day and quarterly earnings from blue-chip companies. Market participants also await the key quarterly corporate results from software services firm TCS and Infosys. On the global front, Asian markets ended mixed on Wednesday, as investors looked to US President-elect Donald Trump's press conference later in the day for clues on his policies. Finally, the BSE Sensex rallied 240.85 points or 0.90% to 27140.41, while the CNX Nifty rose 92.05 points or 1.11% to 8,380.65.

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