Central Bank unlikely to slash interest rates in near future: Gokarn

09 May 2012 Evaluate

RBI is unlikely to slash interest rates further in near future according to RBI’s deputy governor Subir Gokarn. As per Gokran considering the high levels of inflation in the country there is very less room for bringing down the interest rates. Deputy Governor has further asserted that supply side issues need to be addressed to contain inflationary pressures.

The RBI slashed the short-term lending rate by 50 basis points for the first time in 3 years in April 2012 fuelling hopes that further rate cuts are on the anvil. However these recent comments made by the deputy governor indicate that the RBI is still calculated and cautious in its approach.

Gokarn is of the opinion that the supply system is not responding in line with demand and this, in turn, is leading to inflation. As per him the situation calls for structural changes in tax reform in the form of GST (Goods and Services Tax) and investments in increasing food productivity can improve the fiscal scenario. 

Deputy Governor also pointed out that a widening current account deficit (CAD) and a negative balance of payments amid rising imports are still worrying the central bank. Imports have largely risen due to the high imports of oil and gold whereas exports have declined due to a loss of competitiveness of domestic industry. A high CAD limits the bank’s ability to control fluctuations in the currency. However capital inflows will be the 'ultimate determinant' for the currency.

In another statement the Finance Minister has stated that though the high current account deficit (CAD) of 4% is a matter of concern, is confident that it can be bridged if political parties cooperate. By adding further Finance Minister stated that the Goods and Services Tax and Direct Taxes Code, can bring in sea change in tax administration.

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