Bond yields edge lower in tandem with the weekly food inflation data

21 Jul 2011 Evaluate

Pre Weekly Food Inflation Scenario:

Bond yields were trading steady ahead of the release of the weekly food inflation data, even as trader’s preffered staying on the sidelines awaiting the results of the cash management bill and euro zone crisis summit for further direction.

On the global front, US Treasuries prices fell on Wednesday as the safety bid for US government debt ebbed on the view that euro-zone leaders were making progress on a plan to ease Greece's debt burden. Meanwhile, Brent crude reversed early gains on Thursday to drop below $118 after news that China's factory sector contracted at its fastest pace in 28 months, but hopes of solutions to sovereign debt woes on either side of the Atlantic is expected to keep a floor under prices.

The yields on 10-year benchmark 7.80% - 2021 were trading steady at its previous close of 8.28% on Thursday. 

The benchmark five-year interest rate swaps were up 1 basis point at 7.54% as compared to its previous close of 7.53% on Wednesday.

The Government of India announce the sale of three dated securities for Rs 12,000 crore on July 22, 2011, which is inclusive of (i) 8.07% Government Stock 2017” for a notified amount of Rs 4,000 crore (nominal), (ii) 8.08 percent Government Stock 2022” for a notified amount of Rs 5,000 crore (nominal) and (iii) 8.28 percent Government Stock 2027” for a notified amount of Rs 3,000 crore (nominal) through price based auctions.

The Reserve Bank of India has announced the auction of 56-day Government of India Cash Management Bills for a notified amount of Rs 4,000 crore. The auction will be conducted on July 21, 2011 using 'Multiple Price Auction' method

Post Weekly Food Inflation Scenario:

India’s food inflation has once again resumed its declining trajectory as the Food Articles group rose 7.58% in the week ended July 9 compared to 8.31% in the previous week.

According to the data released by Ministry of Commerce and Industry, the index for Food Articles group remained unchanged from the previous week level of 191.7. The index for primary articles group which has the highest weightage of 20.12% in WPI rose by 0.1% for the week at 197.7 from 197.6 for the previous week. The annual rate of inflation, calculated on point to point basis, stood at 11.13% for the week as compared to 11.58% in June 2, 2011.

The yields on 10-year benchmark 7.80% - 2021 were trading lower by 1 basis point at 8.27% from its previous close of 8.28% as the weekly inflation numbers provided some support, while the market is eyeing the euro zone crisis summit during the session for cues.

The benchmark five-year interest rate swaps were steady at its previous close of 7.53% on Thursday.

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