Global rating agency, S&P rating in its latest Asia-Pacific (APAC) Economic Snapshots, has said that the negative effects of demonetisation on the Indian economy have begun to reverse but it is still far from returning to pre-November 2016 trends.
Regarding the macroeconomic indicators, the report said that inflation eased further in January mainly due food and fuel and the Reserve Bank of India kept its benchmark repo rate on hold at 6.25 percent. It also praised fiscal deficit target of 2017-18, saying that the Indian government announced a reasonably ambitious fiscal deficit target of 3.2 percent of GDP in the fiscal year ending March 2018, keeping the headline indicator on an improving trend.
S&P which had earlier said that note ban will have a "higher disruptive impact" on informal, rural, and cash-based segments of the economy, after the government announced demonetisation of 500 and 1,000 rupee notes, had recently revised downwards its estimated economic growth rate for 2016-17 by one percentage point to 6.9 per cent to reflect the disruption caused by the surprise move of demonetisation.
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