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GDP may grow at 7.5-8% next year if monsoon remains normal: Care ratings

29 Mar 2017 Evaluate

India’s gross domestic product (GDP) is likely to grow in the range of 7.5-8 percent next year if monsoon remains normal. Care ratings, the global credit rating agency, in its latest report expects GDP growth to accelerate to 8 percent next financial year as against 7.1 percent in this year as per the latest CSO estimate and added that the monsoon will be the only domestic risk factor which may scupper this.

Care ratings also stated that the government is taking its efforts to rollout the much awaited the Goods and Services Tax (GST) regime from July 1 and it should give confidence to the investors and added that other reform measures including GST should augur well for the markets and the interest of foreign portfolio investors (FPI) should be higher. It added that the overall FPI inflows should move into the range of $ 15-20 billion in fiscal 2017 with equity dominating with $ 10-15 billion and debt with $ 5 billion.

The report however said that debt flows would be contingent on the interest rate differential between the Fed induced interest rates in the US and domestic rates and domestic rates should remain stable at least in the first half of fiscal 2018. It further said that the RBI will take inflation and the monsoon progress into consideration to cut the rates.

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