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India’s credit profile to improve if it follows fiscal discipline path: Moody's

17 Apr 2017 Evaluate

Global credit rating agency Moody's Investors Services in its latest report has said that India’s credit profile would improve and debt burden would also lower over time if it effectively implemented the fiscal discipline within a framework consistent with the Fiscal Responsibility and Budget Management’s (FRBM) recommendation and set up a fiscal council as suggested by the FRBM committee.

Moody’s Investors Service India sovereign analyst William Foster has said that the recommendations offer a medium-term framework that focuses on fiscal consolidation, while targeting India’s debt-to-GDP ratio as a fiscal anchor. The FRBM panel, chaired by former Revenue Secretary N.K. Singh, has recommended that India’s fiscal deficit, which is the difference between expenditure and receipts, should be brought down to 2.5 per cent by 2022-23 as compared to 3.5 per cent in the financial year 2016-17. It also suggested bringing down the Centre’s debt-GDP ratio to 40 per cent by 2023 from 49 per cent at present.  Rating agencies have often red flagged high debt-GDP ratio of India.

Currently, Moody’s has a ‘Baa3’ rating on India with a positive outlook, indicating the country is a relatively low-risk bond or investment market. India has been trying to raise its credit rating with economic reforms such as the Goods and Service Tax Bill, labour reforms, Bankruptcy Act and more. Besides, a higher credit rating will attract more investments into the market.

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