The rupee has fallen to record levels against the dollar breaching the psychological mark of Rs 56. It is the worst performing currency in Asia and has been falling since the last fortnight despite the RBI’s intervention by selling dollars in the forex market.
As per the Finance Minister Pranab Mukherjee, the fall in the rupee is related to the global uncertainties and the crisis in the euro-zone. The crisis has reduced India’s exports, widened the trade and current account deficits and reduced capital inflows. This has led to a fall in the rupee accompanied by a fall in the stock markets and a slowing down of domestic growth.
C Rangarajan, Chairman of the PMEAC, has supported the view. He is of the opinion that the fall in rupee is the result of an exaggerated perception of the uncertainty and risks which has led to decline in capital inflows. As per him it is important that efforts be made to improve investor sentiment. Also the RBI should intervene to arrest the fall in rupee and millennium bonds would be a good option.
However, there are some who believe that the fall in rupee is due to domestic factors. It is believed that the fall in the rupee is due to the wide current account deficit and the uncertain macroeconomic policies of the government. It is believed that the RBI intervention may stop the fall in the rupee temporarily; however foreign money will not come into India unless the government clears the domestic problems.
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