The rise in inflation in the month of April has been unexpected and the RBI will take into consideration the evolving price scenario before announcing its mid quarter monetary policy on 18 June. The apex bank is also of the opinion that for inflation to come under control it is imperative that the fiscal deficit be reined in by the government.
The wholesale price index (WPI) rose to 7.23% in the month of April as compared to 6.89% in the month of March. Further retail inflation as measured by the consumer price Index (CPI) also increased and touched 10.36% in April as compared to 9.38% in the month of March. The inflation has been high primarily due to a rise in prices of food products. However core inflation (non-food manufacturing) has been below 5%. These facts will be taken into account while making decisions in the forthcoming monetary policy, says Subbarao.
Governor has also reiterated the RBI stance on the fiscal deficit and said that for inflation to come down it is important that the government curb its expenditure and deliver on the budgeted fiscal deficit target. The fiscal deficit of the government stood at 5.9% of GDP in the year 2011-12. It has set a target of curbing it to 5.1% in the current fiscal. The government is also faced with a high current account deficit of 4% of GDP largely due to the rise in the global prices of crude oil.
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