Projecting a 7.5 per cent growth in the current fiscal, Economic Affairs Secretary Shaktikanta Das has said that the soon to be rolled out Goods and Service Tax (GST) regime will help the country to grow close to 8 per cent in next fiscal 2018-19. He said that in 2017-18, we are expecting a 7.5 per cent growth...it would be reasonable to expect that in 2018-19, India will log close to 8 per cent growth.” He argued that impact of GST this year will be felt for nine months. By next year, the GST would have stabilised much more and the full-year impact of the GST will be seen by that time.
Economic Affairs Secretary further noted that the GST will club nearly a dozen central and state levies into a single national sales tax, helping the country integrate into one market. He further praised the continuous efforts of government such as the demonetization move which had led to widening of tax base and curbing of a parallel shadow economy, procedural reforms which are stepping up public investment in infrastructure and added that all these factors put together will add to the maintenance of GDP growth.
The International Monetary Fund too expects the adoption of the GST to help raise India's medium term GDP growth to over 8 per cent. Das further expressed confidence that even with the 3.2 percent (fiscal deficit target) spelt out in Budget of current year and 3 percent in next two years, it should be possible for the government to achieve a debt to GDP of 60 percent by 2023 and said that once fiscal deficit targets are achieved, there is a very good probability that revenue deficit will be as per the road map.
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