A joint survey carried out by the Confederation of Indian Industries (CII) and Indian Bank’s Association (IBA), has stated that the country’s economy is set to witness improvement in the overall conditions during the first quarter (Q1) of the current financial year due to improvement in the funding liquidity index, economic activity index and external financial linkages index. However, the survey has anticipated that the cost of funds will rise due to tightening of liquidity in the near future.
Showing a healthy improvement, the CII-IBA Financial Conditions Index moved up to 56.9 for the first quarter of current financial year 2017-18 from 48 in the fourth quarter of financial year 2016-17. The survey further said that the expectation of banks and financial institutions have both improved, brushing up the Economic Activity Index. Besides, the Funding Liquidity and External Financial Linkages Indices have also improved.
The CII-IBA joint survey which is based on participation of 31 leading banks and financial institutions, has also reported that the implementation of Goods and Services Tax (GST) is expected to transform the economy by enabling greater transparency, accountability and widening of the tax net. Besides, it noted that the economy has successfully remonetised itself post demonetization and has moved towards a less cash trajectory along with increase in tax compliance.
Moreover, the report has said that in the current quarter, majority of the respondents expect improvement in mobilisation of funds from money market, corporate bond market, equity market and Reserve Bank of India’s management of the liquidity through liquidity adjustment facility. However, the survey has pointed that the Marginal Cost of Funds based Lending rate (MCLR) rates have witnessed minimal reduction across banks even though there is surplus liquidity in the market and rate cuts on deposits.
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