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India to grow at 7.2% in the current fiscal and further up to 7.7% by 2019-20: World Bank

30 May 2017 Evaluate

World Bank in its ‘India Development Report’ has increased its hopes that India, the fastest growing major economy in the world, will grow at 7.2 per cent in the current fiscal and further up to 7.7 per cent by 2019-20 on strong fundamentals, reform momentum and improving investment scenario. The World Bank had in January scaled down India’s growth forecast to 7 per cent for 2016-17 and had estimated growth to rebound in 2017-18 to 7.6 per cent. In its latest report it said that Economic activity ought to accelerate in 2017-18 and GDP is projected to grow at 7.2 per cent from 6.8 per cent in 2016- 17. Growth to increase gradually to 7.7 per cent by 2019-20, underpinned by recovery in private investments

The report pointed that India remains the fastest growing economy in the world and it will get a boost from its approach to GST which will reduce the cost of doing business for firms, reduce logistics cost of moving goods across states, while ensuring no loss in equity. The World Bank report said that the overall impact of GST on equity and poverty is likely to be positive.

The Indian Development Update further said that India's economy was slowing down in early 2016-17, until the favourable monsoon started lifting the economy, but the recovery was temporarily disrupted by the government's 'demonetization' initiative , but things seems to be bettering.

According to the report, reforms such as the insolvency code and measures to deal with bad loans of public sector banks, including promulgation of the new ordinance, will also be crucial to enhance growth.  It expects inflation and external conditions to remain stable this fiscal, attributing it  to coping mechanisms (which included greater usage of digital transactions), higher rural incomes, and robust public consumption.

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