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03 Jun 2017 Evaluate

Market Commentary

02 June 2017

Markets to make a positive startamid sanguine global cues

 

Indianequity market commenced the new month on a sluggish note, as the benchmarksshowcased an unenthusiastic performance on Thursday and settled with moderatecuts as investors remained cautious after India's economic growth unexpectedlyslumped to its lowest in more than two years in the March quarter, strippingthe country of its status as the world's fastest growing major economy. Thecountry's GDP or gross domestic product growth slowed to 6.1% in the fiscalfourth quarter from 7% in the third, while Gross value added (GVA), thedifference between gross domestic product (GDP) and net indirect taxes, grew byonly 5.6 per cent in Q4 - the lowest in at least eight quarters. Besides, asharp fall in the output of coal, natural gas and crude oil pulled down growthin the group of eight core sectors to a three-month low in April, also weighedon investors' morale. The core sector expanded 2.5 per cent in the first monthof the new fiscal year, compared with 5.3% in March and 8.7% a year earlier.Further, market participants also remained jittery after the report thatmanufacturing sector growth in the country moderated to a three-month low inMay amid softer rise in new orders and production. The Nikkei Markit IndiaManufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) -- an indicator of manufacturingactivity -- declined from 52.5 in April to a three-month low of 51.6 in May.However, losses remained capped with the report that Fiscal deficit in fiscal2017 was 3.5% of GDP, in line with the budget projection, reflecting thegovernment's commitment to the process of fiscal consolidation. In fiscal 2016,the deficit was 3.9% of GDP. Furthermore, the government's decision to unveilthe budget early seems to have paid off with spending having picked pace in thefirst month of the financial year itself. The government spent 11.3% of thebudgeted expenditure in April, with capital expenditure topping the overallspending. Meanwhile, sugar stocks gained traction after the report that India's2017/18 sugar production will likely jump a quarter from the previous year to25 million tonnes as decent monsoon rains are forecast. India's monsoon, whichis forecast to deliver normal rainfall in 2017, lashed the country's southwestcoast on Tuesday, two days ahead of usual. Finally, the BSE Sensex lost 8.21points or 0.03% to 31137.59, while the CNX Nifty was down by 5.15 points or0.05% to 9,616.10.

 

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