Owing to restructuring by banks, weakness of some large corporate accounts along with the increasing demand for waiver of farm loans, credit rating agency, ICRA in its latest report has said that the current financial year 2017-18 (FY18) may continue to pose asset quality pain for the Indian banking sector. The rating agency further stated that the gross non-performing assets (GNPAs) of banks too are expected to reach Rs 8.8 - 9 lakh crore by the end of FY18 as against Rs 7.65 lakh crore as on March 31, 2017.
The rating agency said that the current financial year may continue to pose asset quality pain for banks, but it may also turn out to be a decisive year for resolution of the stressed assets on the back of the Reserve Bank’s ongoing resolution process. ICRA further added that the Reserve Bank’s move on insolvency proceedings against 12 large borrowers will break the status-quo and force the stakeholders to arrive at a resolution plan since the losses in case of liquidation of these entities can be higher for all the stakeholders.
Moreover, the rating agency expects a possibility of 10-20 bps decline in deposit and lending rates in upcoming quarters. It also said that with expectations of fresh slippages at 3-4% of advances for FY2018, credit provisions required on the earlier NPAs and relatively lower treasury gains, the possibility of another year of losses or low single digit return on equity for public sector banks (PSBs) is not ruled out.
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