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Farm loan-waiver schemes may have significant impact on state finances: Fitch

29 Jun 2017 Evaluate

Raising concerns over the recent spate of declarations of farm loan waivers across the country, the credit rating agency, Fitch Ratings in its latest report has said that these moves could have a significant impact on state government finances and might undermine efforts to bring down general government debt. The rating agency noted that the farm loan waivers will also lead to further fiscal slippage at the state level or will reduce the funds available for public investment.

The report titled ‘Indian loan waivers are a risk to fiscal consolidation’ said that larger state deficits would delay an expected gradual reduction in general government debt, which includes central and state government debt. While the central government has indicated that it will not participate in the waivers, the report pointed that the combined finances of the states - which are included in general government debt and deficits - have been under pressure. Besides, the agency said that public pay hikes, election spending and higher interest costs stemming from the UDAY scheme - under which state governments have taken on debt from power distribution companies - are all likely to add to expenditure.

Fitch rating highlighted that banks could also be affected by the waiver schemes, but it could benefit banks if they offload farm loans with weak repayment prospects to state governments. The agency also indicated uniform farm loan waivers could lead to moral hazard and weaken the general repayment culture among financially healthy farmers, but they will still have an incentive to repay loans in order to retain access to future funding.

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