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India's banking system remain most vulnerable among South and Southeast Asia: Moody’s

27 Jul 2017 Evaluate

Revising the outlook on several Indian banks to stable or negative from positive, global credit rating agency Moody’s in its latest report has said that India's banking system remain most vulnerable among South and Southeast Asia. The report further said that capital levels will continue to be weak for most rated public sector banks (PSBs) over the next 12-18 months, as low profitability impinges on their ability to build capital levels through retained earnings.

The rating agency noted that PSBs remain undercapitalized and burdened by bad debts despite receiving Rs 500 billion in capital injections under the "Indradhanush" plan. Besides, it said that the proposed infusion of additional capital of Rs 200 billion in the two financial years up to March 2019 under the plan also falls short of the amount still required for banks to address solvency challenges and recapitalize themselves.

Moody’s also signalled lowered government support to some extent as it appeared reluctant to increase capital injections into the PSU banks, despite the limited ability of these to access equity markets for the much-needed capital. Indian PSBs have experienced significant asset quality problems and capital shortages over the last three years. In 2015, the government announced its "Indradhanush" plan to address its own estimate of Rs 1,800 billion shortfall in capital that PSBs would need between 2015 to 2019 to meet Basel III requirements.


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