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Traffic on Indian ports to increase by 5.4% this fiscal: CMIE

04 Jun 2012 Evaluate

Traffic on the Indian ports is expected to increase by 5.4% this fiscal led by an increase in traffic at the privately owned minor ports, states a report by the Center for Monitoring Indian Economy (CMIE). The main push is expected to come from the increase in the imports of crude oil and coal as their demand rises from the steel and power sectors.

It is estimated that the imports of crude will increase by 6-8% whereas those of coal shall be up by 12-15%. The think tank has also stated that there has been a dip of 6.2% in imports in the month of February in all the 13 major ports because of a fall in iron ore exports due to the Supreme Court order and lower container volumes.

Off late it has been seen that the minor ports have been eating into the business of the 13 state owned major ports due to better infrastructure and services provided by them. Also it is believed that the industry’s price regulator has a role to play in the dampening of demand for the major ports.

On a more positive note, the think tank has revised India’s GDP growth to 7.6% for the current fiscal. This is quite in contrast to near 6-6.5% expectations coming in from other agencies. The government has recently come out with a dismal number of 5.3% for the last quarter of FY12, which is the lowest growth in nine years for the Indian economy.

CMIE also expects the railway freight traffic to grow by 4.6% and breach the 1-billion tonne mark in spite of the fact that the government has raised freight charges by 15% in its latest budget. Healthy growth is expected to be come from coal, cement and iron-ore segments.

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