South-west monsoon hits Kerala; to progress steadily for next 2-3 days

05 Jun 2012 Evaluate

Giving the much needed respite not only to the farmers but also to the policy makers of the nearly $2-trillion Indian economy, the south-west monsoon rains hit the southern coast of Kerala. According to India Meteorological Department (IMD) officials rains have been pouring in parts of Kerala since last few days, but the IMD parameters indicate that the south-west monsoon rains arrived only on Tuesday, June 05, 2012. They also expect that monsoon showers to progress steadily for the next two to three days and reach over Lakshadweep, Kerala, coastal Karnataka and Andaman and Nicobar Islands, sub-Himalayan West Bengal, Sikkim and northeastern states.

Though the annual rains have arrived four days behind schedule, it is not a cause of concern as the progress of seasonal rainfall phenomenon was well with the forecast limits that have a model error of four days. The largely scheduled arrival of rains have also calmed to some extent the growing anxiety among policy-makers about the rainy season ahead. With a population of about 1.2 billion, Asia’s third largest Indian economy is the world's second-biggest producer of rice, wheat, sugar and cotton and also one of the largest consumers of agricultural products.

The MET department has predicted that India is likely to receive average rains for the third straight year in 2012, increasing the likelihood of higher farm production by aiding farmers to plant summer-sown crops such as rice, soybean and cotton on time. The monsoon rains are vital for an agrarian economy like India as about 55 percent of the south Asian nation's arable land is rain-fed, and farm sector accounts for about 15 percent of the overall economy.

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